Match Info

1. Lig - Round 7

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Yusuf Ziya Onis (Istanbul)

Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, TRT Turk
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.40	3.80	Watch
	1.83	3.40	3.50
	1.87	3.35	3.50	Watch
	1.85	3.76	4.15
	1.85	3.81	3.76	Watch
	1.80	3.70	4.10
	1.88	3.54	3.95
	1.84	3.50	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	3.56 ↓ (3.86)	3.81 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
50%

Draw
25.9%

Manisa FK
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

24%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silvestri M. (G) 22. Civelek R. 4. Biraschi D. (C) 6. Yalcin R. 33. Kurukalip C. 8. Tokoz D. 20. Siopis M. 26. Ahmed T. 5. Akbaba E. 9. Tosun C. 72. Pesic A.	1. Karakus V. (G) 7. Talum Y. 5. Herelle C. 45. Ibik A. 27. Gureler Y. 60. Toure B. (C) 20. Benrahou Y. 6. Cankaya A. 23. Anziani J. 70. Vargas A. 9. Sylla C.
Substitutes
21. Baskale C. 28. Cinar A. 11. Cukur T. 14. Doh M. 24. Ersoy B. 7. Kalayci B. 19. Onogo Y. 25. Sarikaya M. 23. Sen B. (G) 10. Verde D.	8. Arik K. 24. Dursun Y. 4. Inal F. 17. Kahraman O. 3. Kaynak O. 2. Kose Y. 11. Lemina N. 25. Sen A. 13. Yayli E. (G) 22. Yurdakul K.
Coaches
Stanojevic A.	Pektas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Cankaya A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Pesic A. ⚽, Ahmed T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Gureler Y. ↓, Inal F. ↑,
65', Benrahou Y. ↓, Yurdakul K. ↑,
66', Tosun C. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Anziani J. ⚽, Yurdakul K. (A),
77', Tokoz D. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
79', Talum Y. 🟨,
87', Vargas A. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
87', Talum Y. ↓, Lemina N. ↑,
90+2', Pesic A. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Yusuf Ziya Onis.

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Manisa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Karagümrük will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12
13	Manisa FK	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
06.09.26	Batman Petrolspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	4:3 ✺
02.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTTWW
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
07.09.26	Manisa FK - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Igdirspor - Manisa FK	4:2 ✺
30.08.26	Manisa FK - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
24.08.26	Sivasspor - Manisa FK	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Manisa FK - Vanspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
02.02.25	Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2
24.08.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	0:2
Turkish Second League Play Offs
21.05.19	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	2:0
17.05.19	Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.03.19	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	0:2
27.10.18	Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:1

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