Match Info

1. Lig - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Caliskan E. K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, TRT Turk
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Manisa FK		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.63	3.60	4.33
	1.65	3.6	4.77	Watch
	1.69	3.85	5.5
	1.61	3.95	5.09	Watch
	1.65	3.55	5.4
	1.71	3.93	4.35	Watch
	1.65	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.14)	3.74 ↑ (3.35)	4.77 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
55.9%

Draw
24.7%

Vanspor
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manisa FK's performance.

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	10.5%	2.6%

Manisa FK - Vanspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Manisa (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Manisa (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Manisa (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - no (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manisa FK will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 97.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manisa FK will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Manisa (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karakus V. (G) 22. Yurdakul K. 5. Herelle C. 6. Cankaya A. 27. Gureler Y. 60. Toure B. (C) 10. Lindseth J. 20. Benrahou Y. 23. Anziani J. 7. Talum Y. 9. Sylla C.	1. Uysal A. (G) 11. Manis M. 65. Bingol M. (C) 13. Oulare N. 35. Isciler B. 61. Genc F. C. 8. Khan M. 58. Yigiter O. 27. Bardhi J. 10. Kokcu O. 17. Caglayan O.
Substitutes
21. Akboga E. 24. Dursun Y. 45. Ibik A. 4. Inal F. 17. Kahraman O. 2. Kose Y. 11. Lemina N. 25. Sen A. 70. Vargas A. 13. Yayli E. (G)	3. Aslan S. 22. Damlu A. (G) 46. Davarcioglu M. 41. Ozcan M. 97. Tas E. 80. Tumen S. 53. Usta G. 91. Yagizer B. 6. Yildrim A. 30. Zivkovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Sylla C. ⚽, Benrahou Y. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Anziani J. ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, Lindseth J. ⚽, Sylla C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bingol M. ↓, Ozcan M. ↑,
46', Khan M. ↓, Zivkovic R. ↑,
51', 4 - 0, Anziani J. ⚽, Benrahou Y. (A),
61', Yurdakul K. 🟨,
68', Caglayan O. ↓, Davarcioglu M. ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Kokcu O. ⚽,
70', Talum Y. ↓, Ibik A. ↑,
70', Anziani J. ↓, Vargas A. ↑,
70', Herelle C. ↓, Lemina N. ↑,
80', Genc F. C. 🟨,
82', Kokcu O. 🟥,
84', Yurdakul K. ↓, Inal F. ↑,
87', Lindseth J. 🟨,
87', Manis M. 🟨,
90+1', Sylla C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Benrahou Y. ↓, Sen A. ↑,

Preview

Manisa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Manisa is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Manisa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Manisa FK	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
07.08.26	Boluspor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Manisa FK - Sakaryaspor	5:0 ✺
26.04.26	Keçiörengücü - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Manisa FK - Serik Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Vanspor - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW
- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
01.05.26	Hatayspor - Vanspor	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Vanspor - İstanbulspor	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Umraniyespor - Vanspor	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Vanspor - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
12.04.26	Vanspor - Manisa FK	0:1
07.12.25	Manisa FK - Vanspor	2:1

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