Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yusuf Ziya Onis (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Digiturk, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Muğlaspor

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.30	4.00
	1.73	3.38	4.55	Watch
	1.76	3.53	5.07
	1.77	3.61	4.37	Watch
	1.73	3.45	5
	1.77	3.44	4.68
	1.73	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 (1.74)	3.43 ↓ (3.68)	4.57 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
52.9%

Draw
26.9%

Muğlaspor
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

27.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Muğlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Muğlaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silvestri M. (G) 25. Sarikaya M. 4. Biraschi D. (C) 28. Cinar A. 33. Kurukalip C. 19. Onogo Y. 20. Siopis M. 26. Ahmed T. 5. Akbaba E. 22. Civelek R. 9. Tosun C.	17. Kilicarslan E. (C) 15. Nahirci O. 88. Fidan Y. 44. Mago L. 5. Matur O. 11. Diarra M. 21. Celhaka J. 23. Guneren A. 28. Engin A. 99. Uzunoglu Y. 9. Yildirim P.
Substitutes
21. Baskale C. 11. Cukur T. 14. Doh M. 41. Esen J. 27. Kadioglu M. 7. Kalayci B. 17. Kalpakli T. 3. Nukan A. 23. Sen B. (G) 6. Yalcin R.	10. Avramovski D. 3. Barak A. 20. Bulut B. 7. Camaj D. 22. Ceylan B. 31. Ekinci A. (G) 91. Furat E. 53. Kazmaz A. 13. Osundina K. 27. Sissoko I.
Coaches
Stanojevic A.	Kosukavak Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Fidan Y. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Akbaba E. ⚽, Kurukalip C. (A),
33', Ahmed T. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Diarra M. ⚽, Uzunoglu Y. (A),
45+1', Uzunoglu Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Kurukalip C. 🟥,
57', Yildirim P. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Celhaka J. 🟨,
63', Celhaka J. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
64', Yildirim P. ↓, Camaj D. ↑,
64', Fidan Y. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
71', Civelek R. ↓, Baskale C. ↑,
71', Siopis M. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
74', Mago L. 🟨,
82', Onogo Y. ↓, Yalcin R. ↑,
82', Tosun C. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
85', Guneren A. ↓, Furat E. ↑,
85', Diarra M. ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
90+1', Ahmed T. ↓, Esen J. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Yusuf Ziya Onis.

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 12th).

Karagümrük has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Muğlaspor is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Karagümrük is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Muglaspor	12	4	6	2	18:14	4	18
10	Karagumruk	12	4	4	4	16:15	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
19.09.26	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Batman Petrolspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	4:3 ✺
02.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLTT
- Muğlaspor
Turkish First League
18.09.26	Muğlaspor - Igdirspor	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Sivasspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Muğlaspor - Vanspor	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Umraniyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Muğlaspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTWW

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