Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, TRT Spor


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.7	Watch
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	2	3.5	3.6
	2.04	3.51	3.84
	1.96	3.47	3.73	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.92	3.48	3.65	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)	3.4 ↓ (3.49)	3.63 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
47.5%

Draw
27.1%

Sakaryaspor
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilgin E. (G) 35. Cankaya A. R. 6. Dabanli B. 3. Djilobodji P. 33. Kurukalip C. 14. Doh M. 11. Johnson D. 70. Lamkel Ze D. 19. Gurpuz G. 7. Camacho J. 9. Wesley	1. Cipe I. (G) 19. Karayel C. 54. Dursun S. 3. Dikmen E. 5. Uzun B. 8. Akpinar M. 10. Aabid R. 9. Fernando Andrade 14. Demir E. 66. Mamadou M. 11. Pektemek M.
Substitutes
99. Beklevic F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 90. Demiroglu B. 4. Demir Y. E. 10. Dovedan N. 21. Paoletti F. 17. Sivri A. 22. Tintis E. 77. Tugyan A. 8. Ugur A.	47. Aklan Y. (G) 17. Aksoy E. 4. Demirtas K. 30. Egri V. 22. Erturk M. 26. Saint-Louis D. 95. Simon N. 20. Totre E. 24. Ugurlu A. 27. Zagre A.
Coaches
Canel A.	Bakkal M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
28', Karayel C. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Wesley ⚽, Gurpuz G. (A),
45+1', Demir E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Camacho J. ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, Lamkel Ze D. ⚽,
73', Lamkel Ze D. 🟨,
75', Dursun S. 🟥,
77', Mamadou M. ↓, Erturk M. ↑,
77', Demir E. ↓, Demirtas K. ↑,
78', Lamkel Ze D. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
80', Johnson D. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
83', Gurpuz G. ↓, Ugur A. ↑,
83', Djilobodji P. ↓, Cinar A. ↑,
83', Uzun B. ↓, Aksoy E. ↑,
84', Pektemek M. ↓, Saint-Louis D. ↑,
84', Akpinar M. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Paoletti F. ⚽,
88', Cankaya A. R. ↓, Demir Y. E. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Karagümrük is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sakaryaspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karagümrük will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Simon N. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
30.09.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
23.09.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3 ✺
15.09.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Ankaragücü	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWTL
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
29.09.24	Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Ankaragücü - Sakaryaspor	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Sakaryaspor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Çorum - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
28.08.24	Sakaryaspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Play Offs
28.05.19	Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2
Turkish Second League White Group
24.03.18	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sakaryaspor	1:2
05.11.17	Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0

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