Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul)


	Umraniyespor		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.7	2.55
	2.4	3.4	2.45
	2.39	3.55	2.5
	2.46	3.43	2.78
	2.41	3.39	2.64	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.5
	2.72	3.55	2.38	Watch
	2.39	3.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.59)	3.51 ↓ (3.57)	2.54 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
37.7%

Draw
26.1%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

25.4%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

25.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adiyaman U. (G) 97. Cavare D. 53. Oksuz B. 4. Eser M. 17. Arici B. 5. Hoti E. 22. Ekincier B. 24. Buyuksayar M. A. 10. Bardhi J. 77. Benny 19. Celik B.	1. Bilgin E. (G) 23. Ulvan T. 94. Cinar A. 6. Dabanli B. (C) 33. Kurukalip C. 8. Ugur A. 20. Mert M. 17. Sivri A. 10. Dovedan N. 18. Akgun A. 90. Demiroglu B.
Substitutes
23. Apaydin F. 20. Babacan A. 26. Fidan S. 44. Glumac T. 8. Goksu S. 18. Karasu M. 29. Minchev G. 27. Soukou C. 35. Topaloglu C. (G) 59. Yilmaz Y.	97. Akyuz F. (G) 28. Arikan M. 35. Cankaya A. R. 26. Cengiz H. 5. Fidan Y. 72. Kalayci B. 29. Kalpakli T. 80. Ozgur T. 77. Tugyan A. 30. Yildiz U.
Coaches
Balci H.	Canel A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Benny ⚽,
43', Arici B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Sivri A. ⚽,
60', Buyuksayar M. A. ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
63', Dovedan N. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
63', Mert M. ↓, Cankaya A. R. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Sivri A. ⚽,
69', Hoti E. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
69', Arici B. ↓, Goksu S. ↑,
69', Ekincier B. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
76', Apaydin F. 🟥,
77', Akgun A. ↓, Tugyan A. ↑,
79', Benny 🟨,
84', Celik B. ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
84', Sivri A. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
90+1', Soukou C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Umraniyespor won 1.

Recent matches Umraniyespor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karagümrük is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karagümrük could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Umraniyespor won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:2 ✺
09.12.24	Erokspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.12.24	Umraniyespor - Isparta 32 Spor	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
01.12.24	Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği	3:3 ✺
22.11.24	Pendikspor - Umraniyespor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWTT
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
14.12.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Boluspor	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
01.12.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erokspor	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
31.08.24	Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2
Turkish Super League
18.04.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	4:2
22.10.22	Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3
Turkish First League
21.06.20	Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1
23.11.19	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	2:3
Turkish Second League White Group
22.03.15	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	1:0
09.11.14	Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1

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