Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Round 3

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Gultekin O. F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Iskenderunspor

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.58	3.95	5.09
				Watch
	1.55	3.8	5
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)	3.88 ↓ (3.9)	5.03 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
58.5%

Draw
23.4%

Iskenderunspor
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

24.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Iskenderunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskenderunspor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Iskenderunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilgin E. (G) 77. Tugyan A. 6. Dabanli B. (C) 94. Cinar A. 2. Kose I. 20. Mert M. 5. Demirol A. 17. Sivri A. 72. Kalayci B. 10. Dovedan N. 91. Gray A.	99. Ekinci A. (G) 31. Eker E. (C) 4. Tuzlacik T. 5. Zengin U. 3. Biler A. 8. Senyurt D. 10. Kursun K. 11. Manis M. 14. Yilmaz B. 47. Khalil M. 7. Polat E. C.
Substitutes
18. Akgun A. 16. Akgun T. 97. Akyuz F. (G) 25. Atabey H. E. 26. Cengiz H. 90. Demiroglu B. 88. Gumus O. 29. Kalpakli T. 43. Parmaksiz E. 30. Yildiz U.	33. Acer Y. 9. Erdogan B. 88. Findikci S. 80. Iclek H. 54. Kazanci M. E. (G) 70. Kuyucu A. 6. Yilmaz U.
Coaches
Ak O.	Akpunar M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Zengin U. ⚽, Manis M. (A),
7', 0 - 2, Polat E. C. ⚽, Manis M. (A),
17', Senyurt D. 🟨,
33', Dovedan N. 🟨,
45+1', Gray A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yilmaz B. ↓, Findikci S. ↑,
46', Dovedan N. ↓, Akgun A. ↑,
46', Gray A. ↓, Demiroglu B. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Mert M. (Pen),
66', Polat E. C. ↓, Acer Y. ↑,
66', Khalil M. ↓, Kuyucu A. ↑,
79', Kursun K. ↓, Iclek H. ↑,
83', Demirol A. ↓, Gumus O. ↑,
83', Mert M. ↓, Akgun T. ↑,
84', Tuzlacik T. 🟨,
84', Iclek H. 🟨,
87', Tugyan A. 🟨,
90', Tugyan A. 🟨,
90+1', Zengin U. 🟨,
90+1', Senyurt D. ↓, Yilmaz U. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Iskenderunspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Karagümrük is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
22.02.25	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:1 ✺
13.02.25	Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.02.25	Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWL
- Iskenderunspor
Turkish Second League White Group
16.02.25	Iskenderunspor - Kepez Belediyesi	3:0 ✺
12.02.25	Batman Petrolspor - Iskenderunspor	4:1 ✺
08.02.25	Iskenderunspor - İnegölspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.25	Iskenderunspor - Trabzonspor	2:2 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
01.02.25	Fethiyespor - Iskenderunspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
11.01.15	Iskenderunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1

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