The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fatih Karagümrükspor 67.7%
Draw 21.2%
Şanlıurfaspor 11.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
23.6%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
22.5%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.
Şanlıurfaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Şanlıurfaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Şanlıurfaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81%
9.5%
9.5%
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Beklevic F. (G) 35. Cankaya A. R. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. 33. Kurukalip C. 14. Doh M. 11. Johnson D. 7. Camacho J. 19. Gurpuz G. 70. Serginho 9. Wesley Moraes
35. Tokotaev E. (G) 21. Gazanfer S. 22. Muscat Z. 26. Acar H. 19. Yardimci N. 5. Eren F. 23. Ercelik H. 9. Kappel L. 12. Bentley 30. Celebi A. 10. Wriedt K.
Substitutes
1. Bilgin E. (G) 94. Cinar A. 5. Demirol A. 10. Dovedan N. 15. Dursun S. 91. Gray A. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Mert M. 17. Sivri A. 23. Ulvan T.
82. Begic A. 96. Giritlioglu C. 13. Kalyoncu E. (G) 17. Karadogan J. 7. Kinali S. 32. Ogundu U. 25. Sambou B. 20. Sunger A. (G) 14. Yazar A. 11. Yuksel M.
Coaches
Ak O.
Karafirtinalar S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Kurukalip C. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Camacho J. (A),
30', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Eren F. ↓, Begic A. ↑,
46', Ercelik H. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
46', Kappel L. ↓, Yazar A. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Ogundu U. ⚽, Begic A. (A),
60', Yazar A. 🟨,
70', Gurpuz G. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
70', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
71', Wriedt K. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
79', Celebi A. ↓, Giritlioglu C. ↑,
80', Doh M. 🟨,
81', Serginho ↓, Gray A. ↑,
81', Dursun S. ↓, Ulvan T. ↑,
85', Dovedan N. 🟨,
90+4', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
90+5', Yardimci N. 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 5.
Karagümrük is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Şanlıurfaspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Karagümrük is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Şanlıurfaspor: Awuku P.
(Red Card)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2.7:1).
Asia
Turkey
Watch
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Beklevic F. (G) 
Djilobodji P. 
Doh M. 
Johnson D. 
Camacho J. 
Serginho 
Tokotaev E. (G) 
Muscat Z. 
Kappel L. 
Bentley 
Wriedt K. 
Demirol A. 
Dovedan N. 
Kalayci B. 
Mert M. 
Begic A. 
Karadogan J. 
