Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: National Arena Toshe Proeski (Skopje) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 6
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Paramount+, Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport 3, Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Singapore	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	VIX App


	Shkendija Tetovo		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	5	3.6	1.73
	4.95	3.55	1.7
	5.18	3.6	1.75
	5.35	3.65	1.71	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.7
	4.78	3.61	1.77
	5.5	3.5	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (3.38)	3.56 ↑ (3.51)	1.72 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shkendija Tetovo
18.6%

Draw
26.6%

Samsunspor
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shkendija Tetovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shkendija Tetovo's form might have worsened.

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	10.3%	71.8%

Shkendija Tetovo - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Shkendija will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 28 - 71.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 57.7% – 85.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Shkendija (1.94) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Samsunspor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Shkendija (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Samsunspor (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gaye B. (G) 16. Murati M. 15. Fetai I. 26. Meliqi A. 11. Webster R. 4. Ramadani R. 6. Alhassan A. 29. Tamba F. 17. Zejnullai A. 49. Spahiu S. 7. Ibraimi B. (C)	1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 17. Tomasson L. 29. Makoumbou A. 10. Ntcham O. 2. Mendes J. 21. Holse C. 47. Assoumou J. 19. Ndiaye C.
Substitutes
22. Ajetovikj N. 25. Amzai A. (G) 18. Ceka N. 5. Islami D. 27. Kaba L. 10. Krasniqi E. 19. Krstevski V. 20. Mazari A. 9. Ndzengue F. 30. Ramani F. (G)	23. Albak E. 24. Borevkovic T. 99. Ceesay E. 55. Cift Y. E. 71. Egribayat I. (G) 28. Gonul S. 9. Marius 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 5. Yuksel C.
Coaches
Bekjiri J.	Fink T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ndiaye C. (Penalty Awarded),
10', Makoumbou A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alhassan A. ↓, Islami D. ↑,
67', Ibraimi B. ↓, Ndzengue F. ↑,
67', Ramadani R. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
72', Ndiaye C. ↓, Marius ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Marius ⚽, Holse C. (A),
85', Assoumou J. ↓, Ceesay E. ↑,
85', Spahiu S. ↓, Krstevski V. ↑,
90', Ceesay E. 🟨,
90+2', Holse C. 🟨,
90+3', Tamba F. ↓, Kaba L. ↑,
90+3', Holse C. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Shkendija has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Samsunspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Samsunspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Shkendija: Latifi L. (Red Card) Trumci A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Samsunspor: Albak E. (Inactive) Bulbul T. (Inactive) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Diabbate A. B. (Inactive) Jarju S. (Inactive) Kayan Y. (Inactive) Kilinc E. (Inactive) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury) Tavsan E. (Inactive) Ustun E. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shkendija Tetovo
North Macedonian 1 MFL
14.02.26	Tikveš - Shkendija Tetovo	1:4 ✺
10.02.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Struga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.26	Sarajevo - Shkendija Tetovo	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Podbrezová - Shkendija Tetovo	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Shkendija Tetovo - AP Brera Strumica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW
- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
13.02.26	Antalyaspor - Samsunspor	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.02.26	Samsunspor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
30.01.26	Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Samsunspor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWT

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