Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: National Arena Toshe Proeski (Skopje)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Uruguay	Disney+
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Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Shkendija Tetovo		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	5	3.6	1.73
	4.95	3.55	1.7
	5.18	3.6	1.75
	5.35	3.65	1.71	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.7
	4.78	3.61	1.77
	5.5	3.5	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (3.38)	3.56 ↑ (3.51)	1.72 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shkendija Tetovo
18.6%

Draw
26.6%

Samsunspor
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shkendija Tetovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shkendija Tetovo's form might have worsened.

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	10.3%	71.8%

Shkendija Tetovo - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Shkendija will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 28 - 71.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 57.7% – 85.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Shkendija (1.94) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Samsunspor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Shkendija (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Samsunspor (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gaye B. (G) 16. Murati M. 15. Fetai I. 26. Meliqi A. 11. Webster R. 4. Ramadani R. 6. Alhassan A. 29. Tamba F. 17. Zejnullai A. 49. Spahiu S. 7. Ibraimi B. (C)	1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 17. Tomasson L. 29. Makoumbou A. 10. Ntcham O. 2. Mendes J. 21. Holse C. 47. Assoumou J. 19. Ndiaye C.
Substitutes
22. Ajetovikj N. 25. Amzai A. (G) 18. Ceka N. 5. Islami D. 27. Kaba L. 10. Krasniqi E. 19. Krstevski V. 20. Mazari A. 9. Ndzengue F. 30. Ramani F. (G)	23. Albak E. 24. Borevkovic T. 99. Ceesay E. 55. Cift Y. E. 71. Egribayat I. (G) 28. Gonul S. 9. Marius 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 5. Yuksel C.
Coaches
Bekjiri J.	Fink T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ndiaye C. (Penalty Awarded),
10', Makoumbou A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alhassan A. ↓, Islami D. ↑,
67', Ibraimi B. ↓, Ndzengue F. ↑,
67', Ramadani R. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
72', Ndiaye C. ↓, Marius ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Marius ⚽, Holse C. (A),
85', Assoumou J. ↓, Ceesay E. ↑,
85', Spahiu S. ↓, Krstevski V. ↑,
90', Ceesay E. 🟨,
90+2', Holse C. 🟨,
90+3', Tamba F. ↓, Kaba L. ↑,
90+3', Holse C. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Shkendija has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Samsunspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Samsunspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Shkendija: Latifi L. (Red Card) Trumci A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Samsunspor: Albak E. (Inactive) Bulbul T. (Inactive) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Diabbate A. B. (Inactive) Jarju S. (Inactive) Kayan Y. (Inactive) Kilinc E. (Inactive) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury) Tavsan E. (Inactive) Ustun E. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shkendija Tetovo
North Macedonian 1 MFL
14.02.26	Tikveš - Shkendija Tetovo	1:4 ✺
10.02.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Struga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.26	Sarajevo - Shkendija Tetovo	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Podbrezová - Shkendija Tetovo	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Shkendija Tetovo - AP Brera Strumica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW
- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
13.02.26	Antalyaspor - Samsunspor	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.02.26	Samsunspor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
30.01.26	Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Samsunspor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWT

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