Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Sivasspor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3	3.5	2.2
	3.08	3.45	2.22	Watch
	3.21	3.43	2.31
	3.16	3.4	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.23	3.5	2.33	Watch
	3.08	3.45	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.69)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
30.3%

Draw
27.5%

Kasımpaşa
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

27.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	70.8%	20.8%

Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 70.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 52.6% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 26. Radakovic U. 27. Sonko Sundberg N. 3. Ciftci U. (C) 90. Turgunboev A. 10. Pritchard A. 12. Moutoussamy S. 8. Charisis C. 24. Rodrigues G. 55. Koita F.	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 14. Espinoza J. 20. Opoku N. 58. Ozcan Y. 77. Rodrigues K. 6. Gul G. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 10. Hajradinovic H. 35. Kara A. (C) 7. Fall M. 18. Da Costa N.
Substitutes
17. Bassan E. 53. Basyigit E. 46. Boke T. 58. Erdal Z. 9. Manaj R. 11. Menig Q. 13. Nikolic D. (G) 23. Okumus A. 44. Poungouras A. 6. Yigiter O.	23. Alkas S. 29. Aydin T. 72. Barak A. 9. Brekalo J. 8. Cafu 5. Ciftpinar S. 98. Kazanci S. (G) 27. Ozden B. 26. Sadiku L. 25. Yanar A. (G)
Coaches
Uygun B.	Keles H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Paluli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Turgunboev A. ↓, Poungouras A. ↑,
46', Pritchard A. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
46', Hajradinovic H. ↓, Cafu ↑,
64', Moutoussamy S. ↓, Bassan E. ↑,
68', Fall M. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
70', Koita F. 🟨,
70', Gul G. 🟨,
77', Charisis C. 🟨,
78', Charisis C. ↓, Erdal Z. ↑,
78', Rodrigues G. ↓, Manaj R. ↑,
79', Kara A. ↓, Sadiku L. ↑,
90', Gul G. ↓, Barak A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kasımpaşa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Manaj R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Omeruo K. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:30 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sivasspor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
10.11.24	Fenerbahçe - Sivasspor	4:0 ✺
02.11.24	Sivasspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Adana Demirspor - Sivasspor	2:4 ✺
20.10.24	Sivasspor - Hatayspor	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Göztepe - Sivasspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
08.11.24	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	1:3 ✺
26.10.24	Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor	1:4 ✺
20.10.24	Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Kasımpaşa - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
01.03.24	Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor	0:0
22.10.23	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	0:1
16.05.23	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	1:2
24.12.22	Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor	1:2
07.05.22	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	1:3
18.12.21	Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor	1:3
15.05.21	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	2:1

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