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Current Win Probability
Manisa FK 29.2%
Draw 28.8%
Fatih Karagümrükspor 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
27.5%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
27.4%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manisa FK's form might have worsened.
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fatih Karagümrükspor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manisa FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
22.2%
55.6%
Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Uysal A. (G) 41. Gurdal O. 29. Yilmaz B. 54. Akgun E. 19. Erdem U. 5. Arik K. 15. Arslanagic D. 21. Diallo D. 10. Dani Ramirez 26. Kanak K. 23. Kiprit M.
99. Beklevic F. (G) 35. Cankaya A. R. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. 33. Kurukalip C. 23. Ulvan T. 14. Doh M. 7. Camacho J. 19. Gurpuz G. 10. Dovedan N. 91. Gray A.
Substitutes
80. Akboga E. 14. Erkasap M. 7. Fofana M. 50. Gocmen B. 17. Kahraman O. 18. Kahya K. C. 31. Karabatak S. (G) 35. Karatas E. (G) 9. Minchev G. 2. Talum Y.
1. Bilgin E. (G) 94. Cinar A. 6. Dabanli B. 90. Demiroglu B. 88. Gumus O. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Mert M. 70. Serginho 17. Sivri A. 22. Tintis E.
Coaches
Sapci H.
Ak O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Dani Ramirez ⚽, Diallo D. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Erdem U. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Ulvan T. ⚽, Doh M. (A),
38', 2 - 2, Doh M. ⚽, Gray A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dovedan N. ↓, Serginho ↑,
56', Erdem U. 🟨,
57', Gurpuz G. ↓, Mert M. ↑,
65', Kiprit M. ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
73', Arik K. ↓, Kahya K. C. ↑,
73', Yilmaz B. ↓, Gocmen B. ↑,
74', Gurdal O. ↓, Talum Y. ↑,
78', Diallo D. 🟨,
84', Erdem U. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
90+1', Camacho J. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
90+2', Gray A. ↓, Demiroglu B. ↑,
90+3', Dani Ramirez 🟥,
90+4', Akgun E. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
Recent matches Manisa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Karagümrük is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Karagümrük could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Manisa: Cissokho M.
(Yellow Cards)
Yurdakul K.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Karagümrük: Johnson D.
(Red Card)
Wesley Moraes
(Red Card)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Manisa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Manisa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
Asia
Turkey
Watch
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Uysal A. (G) 
Arslanagic D. 
Diallo D. 
Dani Ramirez 
Djilobodji P. 
Doh M. 
Camacho J. 
Dovedan N. 
Gray A. 
Minchev G. 
Dabanli B. 
Serginho 
