Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 7

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Felgueiras		Paredes

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5	Watch
	1.57	3.2	6.25
	1.59	3.6	4.9
	1.58	3.81	6.36
	1.57	3.64	5.3	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.22)	3.58 ↑ (2.9)	5.5 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
57.8%

Draw
25.6%

Paredes
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felgueiras's performance.

Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paredes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felgueiras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paredes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Felgueiras - Paredes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Paredes will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Felgueiras: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Felgueiras is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paredes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Felgueiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Felgueiras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
22.10.22	Canelas - Felgueiras	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Felgueiras - Braga	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.22	Felgueiras - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Resende - Felgueiras	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.22	Varzim - Felgueiras	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTWL
- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
22.10.22	Paredes - Anadia	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Fafe - Paredes	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Oriental - Paredes	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
18.09.22	Paredes - Braga B	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.09.22	Alpendorada - Paredes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.02.20	Felgueiras - Paredes	2:1

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