Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Referee: Melo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Felgueiras		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.18	3.25	3.15
	2.27	3.38	3.32
	2.13	3.43	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.28	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.14	3.2	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.4)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)	3.2 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
42.5%

Draw
28.5%

Sporting Lisbon B
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

28.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Felgueiras - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Sporting B will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Felgueiras: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Figueiredo C. (G) 17. Cruz F. 33. Dario 34. Silva A. 5. Rosas P. 18. Gabi 6. Martins H. 78. Moreira V. 7. Rivas M. 19. Lucas Duarte 8. Landinho (C)	99. Silva F. (G) 70. Blopa S. 45. Moreira D. (C) 49. Romulus 50. Dias R. 87. Cardoso P. 59. Kaua Oliveira 96. Justo S. 78. Couto M. 28. Ribeiro R. 90. Nel R.
Substitutes
77. Beni 20. Berna 4. Dudu Cruz 25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 30. Feliz 21. Jean Felipe 14. Jean-Marie M. 3. Pinto J. 12. Zangre A.	67. Anjos L. 77. Besugo R. 73. Felicissimo E. 58. Goncalves F. 88. Mendonca M. 85. Mota R. 74. Pires G. (G) 82. Silva G. 55. Silva J.
Coaches
Bento A.	Joao Giao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Cruz F. 🟨,
26', Blopa S. 🟨,
37', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
43', Rosas P. 🟨,
45+2', Couto M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Ribeiro R. ⚽, Nel R. (A),
64', Moreira V. ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,
64', Couto M. ↓, Mendonca M. ↑,
71', Kaua Oliveira 🟨,
73', Kaua Oliveira ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
74', Ribeiro R. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,
86', Cruz F. ↓, Beni ↑,
86', Martins H. ↓, Jean Felipe ↑,
90', Cardoso P. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
90+2', Nel R. 🟨,
90+3', Jean Felipe 🟥,
90+4', Goncalves F. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Anjos L. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Recent form of Felgueiras has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sporting B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Felgueiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Felgueiras - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.9%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
01.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Felgueiras - Farense	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Felgueiras - Académico de Viseu	1:3 ✺
04.11.25	Torreense - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Vizela - Felgueiras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLLT
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Farense	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
20.11.25	Sunderland U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
08.11.25	Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Feirense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLTW

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