Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 9

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Chaves		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.31	3.15	3.32
	2.13	3.28	3.38	Watch
	2.23	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.16)	3.25 ↑ (3.24)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chaves
42.8%

Draw
28.7%

Sporting Lisbon B
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.8%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Chaves will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Gudzulic M. (G) 34. Alves R. 4. Bruno Rodrigues 15. Carraca 97. Joao Teixeira 30. Kusso D. 9. Milovanovic U. 18. Pereira H. 8. Pinho P. 77. Reinaldo 29. Tounkara M.	41. Diego Callai (G) 87. Cardoso P. 78. Couto M. 50. Dias R. 73. Felicissimo E. 59. Kaua Oliveira 88. Mendonca M. 45. Moreira D. 90. Nel R. 49. Romulus 55. Silva J.
Substitutes
5. Kiko 20. Ktatau 22. Muscat Z. 7. Paulo Victor 17. Roberto 33. Simoes T. 19. Tiago Almeida 1. Vozinha (G) 21. Wellington Carvalho	67. Anjos L. 77. Besugo R. 54. Bruno Ramos 68. Costa D. 96. Justo S. 75. Kissanga M. 74. Pires G. (G) 46. Rafael Pontelo 82. Silva G.
Coaches
Martins F.	Joao Giao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Tounkara M. ↓, Muscat Z. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Carraca ↓, Tiago Almeida ↑,
59', Pereira H. ↓, Wellington Carvalho ↑,
63', Kaua Oliveira ↓, Justo S. ↑,
70', Couto M. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
70', Cardoso P. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
81', Milovanovic U. ↓, Roberto ↑,
81', Joao Teixeira ↓, Ktatau ↑,
86', Nel R. ↓, Kissanga M. ↑,
86', Felicissimo E. ↓, Besugo R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 2.

Chaves is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sporting B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chaves might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
16.11.25	Leixões - Chaves	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Chaves - Porto B	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Leiria - Chaves	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.10.25	Chaves - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- Sporting Lisbon B
English Premier League International Cup
20.11.25	Sunderland U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
08.11.25	Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Feirense	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.16	Sporting Lisbon B - Chaves	2:0
25.11.15	Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0
25.02.15	Sporting Lisbon B - Chaves	1:1
17.09.14	Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B	3:2
23.03.14	Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B	2:3
06.11.13	Sporting Lisbon B - Chaves	4:0

Upcoming Matches