Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu (Istanbul)

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fenerbahçe		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.4	5.25
				Watch
	1.55	4.45	5.7
	1.57	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	4.35 ↓ (4.43)	5.32 ↓ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
60.5%

Draw
21.7%

Anderlecht
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.5%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

21%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.6%	6.7%

Fenerbahçe - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (89 of 104 users predict this - 85.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.83% – 92.33%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Egribayat I. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 37. Skriniar M. 95. Akcicek Y. 18. Kostic F. 53. Szymanski S. 13. Fred 34. Amrabat S. 10. Tadic D. 19. En Nesyri Y. 9. Dzeko E. (C)	26. Coosemans C. (C) 54. Sardella K. 3. Hey L. 34. Adryelson 6. Augustinsson L. 83. Degreef T. 32. Dendoncker L. 17. Leoni T. 21. Huerta Valera C. S. 20. Vazquez L. 29. Stroeykens M.
Substitutes
57. Biterge E. (G) 54. Cetin E. (G) 17. Kahveci I. C. 16. Muldur M. 97. Saint-Maximin A. 94. Talisca A. 81. Tograk S. 23. Tosun C. 20. Under C. 8. Yandas M.	19. Angulo N. 12. Dolberg K. 27. Edozie S. 25. Foket T. 11. Hazard T. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 79. Maamar A. 5. N'Diaye M. 23. Rits M. 4. Simic J. 10. Verschaeren Y. 14. Vertonghen J.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Clement R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Huerta Valera C. S. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Tadic D. ⚽, Akcicek Y. (A),
29', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Dzeko E. ⚽,
45', Amrabat S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
57', 3 - 0, En Nesyri Y. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
63', Stroeykens M. ↓, Hazard T. ↑,
63', Vazquez L. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
73', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
75', Dzeko E. ↓, Talisca A. ↑,
86', Tadic D. ↓, Yandas M. ↑,
86', Degreef T. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
90', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Fenerbahçe in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Anderlecht is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Anderlecht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Aydin O. (Inactive) Aziz S. (Inactive) Diego Carlos (Inactive) Djiku A. (Muscle Injury) Kapacak B. (Inactive) Livakovic D. (Thigh Injury) Mercan L. (Inactive) Mimovic O. (Inactive) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Soyuncu C. (Muscle Injury) Yuksek I. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Anderlecht: Edozie S. (Muscle Injury) Vertonghen J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Anderlecht: Ashimeru M. (Muscle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Fenerbahçe to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Fenerbahçe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.47%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
09.02.25	Alanyaspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Erzurumspor	5:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Midtjylland - Fenerbahçe	2:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
26.01.25	Fenerbahçe - Göztepe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWTW
- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.02.25	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	2:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
06.02.25	Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht	2:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.02.25	Gent - Anderlecht	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Anderlecht - Hoffenheim	3:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.01.25	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
08.11.18	Fenerbahçe - Anderlecht	2:0
25.10.18	Anderlecht - Fenerbahçe	2:2

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