Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 12
Germany	RTL+, RTL Nitro
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	FOX Sports Premium
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app, VIX App


	Anderlecht		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.1
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.32	3.6	3
	2.27	3.53	3.22
	2.25	3.52	3.12	Watch
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.19	3.68	3.3
	2.32	3.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.94)	3.57 ↓ (3.69)	3.11 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
42.5%

Draw
26.7%

Hoffenheim
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.9%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.1%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.4%	17.1%	19.5%

Anderlecht - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 51 - 64.6%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 14 - 17.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 17.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 54.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 54. Sardella K. 32. Dendoncker L. 4. Simic J. 6. Augustinsson L. 10. Verschaeren Y. (C) 23. Rits M. 83. Degreef T. 7. Amuzu F. 20. Vazquez L. 11. Hazard T.	37. Philipp L. (G) 35. Arthur Chaves 2. Hranac R. 25. Akpoguma K. (C) 52. Mokwa Ntusu D. 7. Bischof T. 8. Geiger D. 20. Becker F. O. 19. Jurasek D. 23. Hlozek A. 33. Moerstedt M.
Substitutes
19. Angulo N. 25. Foket T. 42. Goto K. 73. Lapage A. 17. Leoni T. 79. Maamar A. 5. N'Diaye M. 35. Schlieck T. (G) 29. Stroeykens M. 63. Vanhoutte T. (G)	40. Behrens H. 21. Bulter M. 57. Djuric L. 54. Erlein L. 30. Kalambayi Mukuta S. 43. Konig N. 55. Lade B. (G) 28. Micheler F. 34. Nsoki S. 56. Philipp T. (G)
Coaches
Clement R.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Vazquez L. ⚽, Sardella K. (A),
23', Akpoguma K. 🟨,
39', Geiger D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Hranac R. ⚽, Bischof T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
54', 1 - 2, Bischof T. ⚽, Geiger D. (A),
57', Bischof T. 🟨,
57', Hazard T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽, Moerstedt M. (A),
65', 1 - 4, Hlozek A. ⚽, Jurasek D. (A),
69', Amuzu F. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
69', Sardella K. ↓, Maamar A. ↑,
69', Verschaeren Y. ↓, Leoni T. ↑,
69', Hlozek A. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
77', Bischof T. ↓, Micheler F. ↑,
77', Geiger D. ↓, Erlein L. ↑,
78', Vazquez L. ↓, Goto K. ↑,
79', 2 - 4, Goto K. ⚽, Stroeykens M. (A),
81', Erlein L. 🟨,
83', Bulter M. 🟨,
88', 3 - 4, Augustinsson L. ⚽, Leoni T. (A),
90+1', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Behrens H. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Anderlecht is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hoffenheim is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Anderlecht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Anderlecht will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Anderlecht: Adryelson (Inactive) Dolberg K. (Injury) Edozie S. (Muscle Injury) Hey L. (Inactive) Huerta Valera C. S. (Inactive) Vertonghen J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Baumann O. (Foot Injury) Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Orban G. (Inactive) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Hip Injury) Tabakovic H. (Knee Injury) Tohumcu U. (Ankle Injury) Yardimci E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Anderlecht: Ashimeru M. (Muscle Injury) Stroeykens M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Grillitsch F. (Ankle Injury) Prass A. (Illness)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Anderlecht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Including matches at home between the teams Anderlecht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.01.25	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.01.25	Kortrijk - Anderlecht	0:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
16.01.25	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.01.25	Anderlecht - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
26.01.25	Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Hoffenheim - Tottenham Hotspur	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.01.25	Holstein Kiel - Hoffenheim	1:3 ✺
15.01.25	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	5:0 ✺
11.01.25	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.01.19	Anderlecht - Hoffenheim	3:2

Upcoming Matches