Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 38

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Anderlecht		KV Mechelen

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4	Watch
	1.87	3.8	3.9
	1.88	3.65	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.74	4.29
	1.96	3.57	3.83	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.86	3.68	4.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.71)	3.62 ↓ (3.9)	4 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
50.3%

Draw
26.1%

KV Mechelen
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

22.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Anderlecht - KV Mechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Mechelen will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Mechelen (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 7. Camara I. 3. Hey L. 93. Diarra M. 6. Augustinsson L. 13. Saliba N. 24. Llansana E. 21. Huerta Valera C. S. 74. De Cat N. 83. Degreef T. 14. Sikan D.	13. Miras N. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 2. Halhal R. 3. Marsa J. 7. Koudou T. 6. Hammar F. (C) 29. Salifou D. 17. Servais M. 19. Mrabti K. 9. van Brederode M. 28. Boersma B.
Substitutes
4. Angely M. 91. Bertaccini A. 11. Hazard T. 32. Heekeren J. (G) 55. Kana M. 99. Kanate I. 79. Maamar A. 61. Nga K. 23. Rits M. 54. Sardella K. 10. Verschaeren Y.	38. Antonio B. 11. Bafdili B. 39. Decoene M. 1. De Wolf O. (G) 4. Diouf G. 8. Konate M. 34. Lenaerts M. 14. Raman B. 27. Vanrafelghem K.
Coaches
Taravel J.	Vanderbiest F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, van Brederode M. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Saliba N. ⚽, Sikan D. (A),
39', Halhal R. 🟨,
42', Salifou D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Miras N. ↓, De Wolf O. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Koudou T. ⚽, van Brederode M. (A),
61', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
69', Salifou D. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
72', Sikan D. ↓, Hazard T. ↑,
72', Diarra M. ↓, Sardella K. ↑,
73', Llansana E. ↓, Kana M. ↑,
79', Mrabti K. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
83', Saliba N. ↓, Maamar A. ↑,
85', Koudou T. ↓, Decoene M. ↑,
85', Boersma B. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
88', Decoene M. 🟨,
90', Konate M. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Camara I. ⚽, Maamar A. (A),
90+4', Taravel J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 4.

Anderlecht has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mechelen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Anderlecht is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Anderlecht: Cvetkovic M. (Red Card) Stroeykens M. (Injury)

There will not play in Mechelen: Kireev M. (Inactive) Ozdemir H. (Inactive) Zekri M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:29. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:11. (average 2.7:1.2).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Anderlecht: 4.86% KV Mechelen: 0.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	9:6	3	16
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Anderlecht - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 55.17%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Cup
14.05.26	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	3:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.05.26	Gent - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Anderlecht - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
23.04.26	Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.05.26	Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
22.04.26	Club Brugge - KV Mechelen	6:1 ✺
18.04.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.04.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:2
15.03.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:0
01.11.25	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	3:1
26.01.25	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	4:1
17.08.24	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:3
01.02.24	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	2:2
07.10.23	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	3:1

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