Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 18

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu (Istanbul)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports
Asia	TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, SportKlub
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	Fox Sports
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Hungary	Sport 2
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 2
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Fox Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Slovenia	Sportklub
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, SuperSport ESPN 2


	Fenerbahçe		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	1.11	8.5	19	Watch
	1.12	9.25	17.5
	1.09	10.04	21.7	Watch
	1.1	9.47	21.38
	1.12	9.5	19
	1.13	10.6	22	Watch
	1.09	10.04	21.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.15)	9.63 ↑ (8.16)	20.33 ↑ (13.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
85.5%

Draw
9.8%

Hatayspor
4.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.6%

11.5%

6.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	4.3%	8.7%

Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 20 - 87%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 73.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Egribayat I. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 4. Soyuncu C. 6. Djiku A. 22. Mercan L. 10. Tadic D. 13. Fred 34. Amrabat S. 18. Kostic F. 9. Dzeko E. 19. En Nesyri Y.	1. Kardesler E. (G) 22. Alici K. 95. Buz Y. A. 3. Kilama G. 2. Corekci K. (C) 6. Parmak A. 98. Boutobba B. 17. Diack L. 14. Rui Pedro 7. Bamgboye F. 9. Aboubakar V.
Substitutes
95. Akcicek Y. 54. Cetin E. (G) 44. Ekiz Y. E. 28. Elmaz B. 17. Kahveci I. C. 16. Muldur M. 53. Szymanski S. 23. Tosun C. 20. Under C. 8. Yandas M.	94. Aksoy D. 12. Bekaj V. (G) 31. Matur O. 34. Saricali D. (G) 16. Temel S. 25. Yildiz A. 93. Zobu I.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Bal Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', Rui Pedro 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, En Nesyri Y. ⚽, Dzeko E. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Boutobba B. ⚽, Diack L. (A),
45+5', 2 - 1, En Nesyri Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Amrabat S. 🟨,
70', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
76', Tadic D. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
77', Szymanski S. 🟨,
78', Bamgboye F. ↓, Matur O. ↑,
85', Rui Pedro ↓, Temel S. ↑,
85', Aboubakar V. 🟨,
85', Fred 🟨,
90+5', Matur O. 🟨,
90+6', Dzeko E. (Pen),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 5.

Recent matches Fenerbahçe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hatayspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fenerbahçe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fenerbahçe is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Aydin O. (Muscle Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Yuksek I. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Hatayspor: Calvo F. (Yellow Cards) Demir C. (Red Card) Fernandes J. (Yellow Cards) Okoronkwo J. (Foot Injury) Saglam G. (Yellow Cards) Yilmaz R. B. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Yandas M. (Illness)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:4 (average 2.3:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Fenerbahçe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:2 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
20.12.24	Eyüpspor - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.24	Fenerbahçe - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
07.12.24	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
02.12.24	Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWLLW
- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
23.12.24	Hatayspor - Adana Demirspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
19.12.24	Iskenderunspor - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
15.12.24	Hatayspor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.12.24	Hatayspor - Osmaniyespor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
02.03.24	Hatayspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2
22.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	4:2
27.12.22	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	4:0
20.02.22	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	2:0
26.09.21	Hatayspor - Fenerbahçe	1:2
02.02.21	Hatayspor - Fenerbahçe	1:2
21.09.20	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	0:0

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