Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	12:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Australia	02:30	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	17:30	BTV Action
Chile	12:30	Disney+
Colombia	10:30	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	16:30	Arena Sport 1
Czech Republic	16:30	Sport 1
Denmark	16:30	Disney+
Finland	17:30	Viaplay
France	16:30	CANAL+ Foot
Iceland	15:30	Viaplay
Israel	17:30	Sport 4
Norway	16:30	Viaplay
Peru	10:30	Disney+
Poland	16:30	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	15:30	DAZN 1
Romania	17:30	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Switzerland	16:30	Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11
Turkey	18:30	TRT 1
Ukraine	17:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	15:30	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	12:30	Disney+
Venezuela	11:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	15:30	Disney+, Prima+ app


	Fenerbahçe		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.88
	2.5	3.2	2.87
	2.55	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.61	3.28	2.95
	2.51	3.17	2.98	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.88
	2.62	3.38	2.96
	2.55	3.3	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.45)	3.25 ↑ (2.9)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
37.6%

Draw
29.5%

Athletic Bilbao
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	36%	16%

Fenerbahçe - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Athletic will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 3. Akaydin S. 6. Djiku A. 16. Muldur M. 5. Yuksek I. 34. Amrabat S. 10. Tadic D. (C) 53. Szymanski S. 97. Saint-Maximin A. 19. En Nesyri Y.	13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 5. Alvarez Y. 4. Paredes A. 17. Berchiche Y. 23. Jauregizar M. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 9. Williams I. (C) 8. Sancet O. 10. Williams N. 12. Guruzeta G.
Substitutes
95. Akcicek Y. 57. Biterge E. (G) 54. Cetin E. (G) 9. Dzeko E. 17. Kahveci I. C. 50. Rodrigo Becao 4. Soyuncu C. 23. Tosun C. 20. Under C.	7. Berenguer A. 32. Boiro A. 18. de Marcos O. 11. Djalo A. 20. Gomez U. 15. Lekue I. 14. Nunez U. 24. Prados Diaz B. 22. Serrano N. 1. Simon U. (G) 6. Vesga M. 3. Vivian D.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Williams I. ⚽, Guruzeta G. (A),
7', Alvarez Y. 🟨,
38', Williams N. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
45', 0 - 2, Williams I. ⚽, Sancet O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Akaydin S. ↓, Soyuncu C. ↑,
46', Alvarez Y. ↓, Vivian D. ↑,
57', Muldur M. 🟨,
61', Szymanski S. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
67', Guruzeta G. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
67', Jauregizar M. ↓, Prados Diaz B. ↑,
69', Muldur M. 🟨,
72', Tadic D. ↓, Under C. ↑,
72', Saint-Maximin A. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
80', Gomez U. 🟨,
85', Williams I. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
90+1', Sancet O. 🟨,
90+1', Amrabat S. 🟨,

Preview

Fenerbahçe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Athletic is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Athletic have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Fred (Yellow Cards) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Yandas M. (Illness)

There will not play in Athletic: Herrera A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
07.12.24	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
02.12.24	Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Slavia Prague - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
23.11.24	Kayserispor - Fenerbahçe	2:6 ✺
Club Friendly
15.11.24	Fenerbahçe - Zenit	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
08.12.24	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
04.12.24	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Athletic Bilbao - Elfsborg	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.11.24	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.07.17	Athletic Bilbao - Fenerbahçe	0:0

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