Match Info

Super Lig - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu (Istanbul)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	TOD
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Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
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Israel	Sport 3
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Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
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North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV4, Sport TV5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Sportklub
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+


	Fenerbahçe		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	1.37	5	7	Watch
	1.52	4.33	5.5
	1.41	4.53	7.48
	1.45	4.68	7.03
	1.41	5.07	7.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	4.72 ↓ (4.87)	6.9 ↑ (6.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
66.2%

Draw
20.1%

Trabzonspor
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

19.3%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.5%

22%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Trabzonspor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96%	0%	4%

Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Fenerbahçe (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Fenerbahçe (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.32% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 18. Muldur M. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 3. Brown A. 5. Yuksek I. 7. Fred 53. Szymanski S. 94. Talisca 9. Akturkoglu K. 19. En Nesyri Y.	24. Onana A. (G) 22. Zubkov O. 15. Savic S. (C) 44. Batagov A. 19. Eskihellac M. 10. Muci E. 5. Yokuslu O. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 70. Olaigbe K. 11. Tufan O. 30. Onuachu P.
Substitutes
21. Asensio M. 70. Aydin O. 1. Egribayat I. (G) 28. Elmaz B. 17. Kahveci I. C. 22. Mercan L. 45. Nene D. 50. Rodrigo Becao 4. Soyuncu C. 23. Tosun C.	23. Baniya R. 80. Baskan B. 77. Bosluk A. 61. Canak C. 99. Felipe Augusto 92. Ince T. E. 74. Malkocoglu S. 29. Saatci S. 7. Visca E. 88. Yildirim A. (G)
Coaches
Tedesco D.	Tekke F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Onuachu P. 🟨,
20', Yokuslu O. 🟥,
31', Savic S. 🟨,
41', Yuksek I. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, En Nesyri Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Szymanski S. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
57', Yuksek I. ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
60', Zubkov O. ↓, Baniya R. ↑,
60', Muci E. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
68', Elmaz B. 🟨,
74', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
76', Eskihellac M. ↓, Bosluk A. ↑,
76', Olaigbe K. ↓, Visca E. ↑,
81', Brown A. 🟨,
81', Jabol-Folcarelli T. 🟨,
83', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
83', Talisca ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
85', Tufan O. ↓, Malkocoglu S. ↑,
90+7', Skriniar M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 4.

Fenerbahçe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trabzonspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Trabzonspor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Semedo N. (Muscle Injury) Yandas M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: En Nesyri Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Cevikkan O. (Finger Injury) Felipe Augusto (Injury) Nwakaeme A. (Muscle Injury) Pina W. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
31.08.25	Gençlerbirliği - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Benfica - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
23.08.25	Fenerbahçe - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.08.25	Fenerbahçe - Benfica	0:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.08.25	Göztepe - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWTT
- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
31.08.25	Trabzonspor - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Trabzonspor - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
11.08.25	Trabzonspor - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.25	Trabzonspor - Persepolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
06.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	4:1
03.11.24	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3
17.03.24	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3
04.11.23	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	2:3
18.05.23	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	3:1
24.12.22	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:0
06.03.22	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	1:1

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