Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Rams Park (Istanbul)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Galatasaray		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.1	4.2
	1.78	4.15	4.25
	1.78	4.09	4.43
	1.74	4.19	4.57
	1.76	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.59)	4.11 ↓ (4.5)	4.36 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
54.5%

Draw
23.4%

Saint-Gilloise
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

21.2%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galatasaray's form might have worsened.

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galatasaray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	10.3%	10.3%

Galatasaray - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Galatasaray (2.26) (votes: 4 - 57.1%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 20 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.5 - Union SG (4.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Galatasaray (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Union SG (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (93 of 111 users predict this - 83.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.92% – 90.64%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Galatasaray will win (51 of 58 users predict this - 87.93%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 68 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 56 - 82.4%). Union SG (votes: 7 - 10.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 7.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 8. Gabriel Sara 10. Sane L. 20. Gundogan I. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 9. Icardi M. (C)	37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 26. Sykes R. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Zorgane A. 6. Van De Perre K. 22. Niang O. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 30. Florucz R. 12. David P.
Substitutes
65. Arac E. 72. Balta C. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 64. Kahraman Y. 67. Karasu E. C. 68. Kocak F. 21. Kutucu A. 12. Sen B. (G) 91. Unyay A.	3. Barry M. T. 23. Boufal S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 20. Giger M. 11. Guilherme Smith 48. Leysen F. 27. Patris L. 4. Rasmussen M. 13. Rodriguez K. 17. Schoofs R.
Coaches
Buruk O.	Hubert D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Gundogan I. 🟨,
36', David P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Jakobs I. ↓, Unyay A. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, David P. ⚽, Zorgane A. (A),
58', David P. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
63', Torreira L. 🟨,
63', Khalaili A. 🟨,
64', Sanchez D. 🟨,
70', Buruk O. 🟨,
71', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
71', Florucz R. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
80', Unyay A. 🟨,
89', Unyay A. 🟨,
90', Niang O. ↓, Leysen F. ↑,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Union SG has had a series of away games.

In this match, Galatasaray is the team to beat.

There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Elmali E. (Suspended) Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Karatas K. (Inactive) Kutlu B. (Injury) Osimhen V. (Hamstring Injury) Singo W. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Union SG: Francois G. (Inactive) Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury) Pavlic I. (Inactive) Teunckens J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Groin Injury) Ayhan K. (Injury) Demir Y. (Injury) Lemina M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Union SG: Leysen F. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
22.11.25	Galatasaray - Gençlerbirliği	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Kocaelispor - Galatasaray	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Ajax - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.11.25	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Galatasaray - Göztepe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTW
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.11.25	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Saint-Gilloise	3:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.11.25	Zulte Waregem - Saint-Gilloise	1:4 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.10.25	Tubize - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTLWW

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