Match Info

Super Lig - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Altay C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+


	Kocaelispor		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.42	Watch
	7.02	4.52	1.43
	7.46	4.46	1.47
	6.36	4.94	1.43	Watch
	7.15	4.65	1.48	Watch
	6	4.7	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.75 ↑ (6.36)	4.63 ↓ (4.94)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
14.1%

Draw
20.5%

Galatasaray
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

19.1%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

18.5%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	7.7%	88.5%

Kocaelispor - Galatasaray Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Galatasaray (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Galatasaray (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Galatasaray will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 11 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovanovic A. (G) 22. Oguz A. (C) 5. Balogh B. 6. Smolcic H. 2. Dijksteel A. 8. Keita H. 15. Serbest T. 7. Agyei D. 10. Linetty K. 75. Bingol T. 19. Dursun S.	1. Cakir U. (G) 90. Singo W. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. 4. Jakobs I. 10. Sane L. 34. Torreira L. 99. Lemina M. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 45. Osimhen V. 9. Icardi M. (C)
Substitutes
17. Churlinov D. 3. Cinan M. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 18. Gedik F. 70. Keles C. 98. Nonge J. 11. Sagat A. 14. Show 34. Syrota O. 23. Yalcin S.	23. Ayhan K. 3. Baltaci M. 30. Demir Y. 17. Elmali E. 8. Gabriel Sara 19. Guvenc G. (G) 18. Kutlu B. 21. Kutucu A. 7. Sallai R. 91. Unyay A.
Coaches
Inan S.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Osimhen V. 🟨,
38', Dijksteel A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Agyei D. ⚽, Dursun S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Singo W. ↓, Sallai R. ↑,
47', Smolcic H. 🟨,
64', Torreira L. ↓, Gabriel Sara ↑,
64', Jakobs I. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
72', Keita H. ↓, Show ↑,
72', Dursun S. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
90', Agyei D. ↓, Syrota O. ↑,
90', Sanchez D. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
90+6', Linetty K. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Kocaelispor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Galatasaray is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Galatasaray is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Groin Injury) Gundogan I. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Haidara M. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
31.10.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Kocaelispor - Alanyaspor	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Konyaspor - Kocaelispor	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWL
- Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Ajax - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.11.25	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Galatasaray - Göztepe	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Galatasaray - Bodø Glimt	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
18.10.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWW

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