Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 17

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Lino Turina (Salo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Max


	FeralpiSalò		Alcione

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	7.5
	1.37	4.4	8.2
	1.34	4.45	9.25
	1.38	4.31	9.31	Watch
	1.3	4.4	9
	1.32	4.4	8.75	Watch
	1.37	4.4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.63)	4.38 ↑ (3.5)	8.6 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FeralpiSalò
68.4%

Draw
21%

Alcione
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

24.4%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FeralpiSalò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FeralpiSalò's performance.

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FeralpiSalò that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

FeralpiSalò - Alcione Predictions

Users Predictions: FeralpiSalò will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rinaldi F. (G) 5. Pasini N. 19. Pilati A. 3. Rizzo A. 99. Pietrelli A. 20. Zennaro M. 27. Hergheligiu D. (C) 10. Di Molfetta D. 21. Cavuoti N. 24. Boci B. 7. Dubickas E.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 37. Stabile G. 6. Ciappellano D. 25. Pirola F. 3. Chierichetti P. 4. Piccinocchi M. 80. Bagatti N. 8. Bonaiti S. 33. Invernizzi A. 96. Palombi S. 31. Marconi M.
Substitutes
38. Kashari K. 33. Letizia G. 22. Liverani L. (G) 12. Lovato E. (G) 16. Luciani A. 2. Motti F. 4. Musatti M. 9. Pellegrini J. 85. Sina S. 30. Tahiri A. 63. Verzeletti M. 77. Vesentini F. 40. Vitali M.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 94. Bertolotti F. 23. Bertoni L. 21. Bright K. 19. Caremoli T. 20. Dimarco C. 14. Foglio C. 16. Lanzi J. 7. Mazzola G. 10. Palma A. 77. Pessolani G. 17. Pio Loco A. 29. Samele L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Marconi M. ⚽,
29', Bagatti N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Stabile G. ↓, Dimarco C. ↑,
48', Pilati A. 🟨,
61', Boci B. ↓, Letizia G. ↑,
68', Cavuoti N. ↓, Pellegrini J. ↑,
68', Rizzo A. ↓, Vesentini F. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Di Molfetta D. (Pen),
80', Invernizzi A. ↓, Pessolani G. ↑,
85', Pilati A. 🟨,
87', Dubickas E. ↓, Luciani A. ↑,
90+4', Piccinocchi M. ↓, Bright K. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

FeralpiSalò is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alcione is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match FeralpiSalò is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's FeralpiSalò to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.24	Lumezzane - FeralpiSalò	1:3 ✺
17.11.24	FeralpiSalò - Triestina	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Trento - FeralpiSalò	3:2 ✺
03.11.24	FeralpiSalò - Atalanta U23	3:1 ✺
30.10.24	Union Clodiense - FeralpiSalò	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
24.11.24	Alcione - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Pergolettese - Alcione	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Pro Vercelli - Alcione	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Alcione - Trento	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	Lecco - Alcione	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLL

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