Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ferencvárosi		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.75
	1.63	4	5.25
	1.52	4.35	6.5
	1.53	4.38	6.6
	1.53	4.3	6.22	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.58	4.41	5.86
	1.77	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.81)	4.16 ↑ (3.8)	5.87 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
60.7%

Draw
23%

Ludogorets Razgrad
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

27.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferencvárosi's performance.

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludogorets Razgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.6%	7.5%	9%

Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ferencvárosi (1.91) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Ludogorets (4.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Ludogorets (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +5 - Ludogorets (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ludogorets (2.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Ludogorets (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

EH +1 - Ferencvárosi (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (55 of 66 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.34% – 92.32%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ferencvárosi will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferencvárosi (votes: 22 - 71%). Ludogorets (votes: 8 - 25.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Grof D. (G) 27. Cisse I. (C) 28. Raemaekers T. 4. Gomez M. 25. Makreckis C. 36. Kanichowsky G. 15. Abu Fani M. 23. Otvos B. 20. Cadu 75. Joseph L. 11. Dele	39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 55. Nachmias I. 24. Verdon O. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 14. Stanic P. 30. Pedro Naressi 23. Duarte D. 11. Caio Vidal 9. Duah K. 77. Erick Marcus
Substitutes
30. Gruber Z. 5. Keita N. 19. Kovacevic F. 71. Lakatos C. 10. Levi J. 72. Madarasz A. 77. Nagy B. 66. Romao J. 22. Szalai G. 82. Toth Z. (G) 1. Varga A. (G) 16. Zachariassen K.	2. Andersson J. 18. Chochev I. 99. Ivanov S. 26. Kaloc F. 1. Padt S. (G) 12. Rwan Cruz 69. Stoimenov Z. (G) 37. Tekpetey B. 27. Vinicius Nogueira
Coaches
Keane R.	Hogmo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Kanichowsky G. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Kanichowsky G. ⚽, Joseph L. (A),
17', Otvos B. ↓, Zachariassen K. ↑,
30', 2 - 0, Zachariassen K. ⚽, Dele (A),
31', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Raemaekers T. 🟨,
66', Erick Marcus ↓, Tekpetey B. ↑,
66', Caio Vidal ↓, Rwan Cruz ↑,
68', Cisse I. ↓, Szalai G. ↑,
68', Abu Fani M. ↓, Romao J. ↑,
74', Stanic P. 🟨,
75', Gomez M. 🟨,
79', Pedro Naressi ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
79', Son ↓, Vinicius Nogueira ↑,
80', Grof D. 🟨,
81', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
90', Nedyalkov A. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
90+3', Joseph L. 🟨,
90+3', Joseph L. ↓, Madarasz A. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 3.

In recent matches, Ferencvárosi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ludogorets is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Ferencvárosi is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Acolatse E. (Inactive) Corbu M. (Inactive) Gartenmann S. (Injury) Kajan N. (Inactive) O'Dowda C. (Yellow Cards) Osvath A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ludogorets: Almeida D. (Yellow Cards) Bile E. (Inactive) Camara A. (Surgery) Machado M. (Inactive) Tissera M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Dibusz D. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Ferencvaros: 0.78%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ferencvaros	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
23.02.26	MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi	2:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
14.02.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Ferencvárosi	3:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
11.02.26	Ferencvárosi - Csákvári	4:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
07.02.26	Ferencvárosi - Ujpest	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWW
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.02.26	Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.02.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
11.02.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.02.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi	2:1
06.11.25	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:0
06.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi	0:0
Club Friendly
25.06.22	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:0
23.06.21	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1
UEFA Europa League
12.12.19	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi	1:1

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