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Current Win Probability
Ferencvárosi 27.8%
Draw 25.6%
Celtic 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
26.7%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.5%
19.7%
57.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferencvárosi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celtic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.5%
17.5%
71.9%
Ferencvárosi - Celtic Predictions
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 6 - 10.5%). Celtic will win (votes: 41 - 71.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 60.2% – 83.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Ferencvárosi has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (<1%), has a small chance of 3rd (11%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Celtic has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (3%), has a small chance of 2nd (13%), has a good chance of 3rd (72%), has a small chance of round of 16 (8%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Celtic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Celtic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Celtic will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
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