Match Info

Premiership - Championship Group - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Easter Road (Edinburgh)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 2
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Ireland	NOW
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Romania	Digi Sport 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-arab-emirates	Maraya, Sharjah Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
World	Onefootball


	Hibernian		Celtic

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.51	Watch
	4.8	4.33	1.58
	4.7	3.95	1.65	Watch
	4.87	4.31	1.68
	4.68	4.3	1.65	Watch
	4.8	4	1.57
	4.45	4.1	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (3.45)	4.21 ↑ (3.93)	1.62 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hibernian
19.7%

Draw
22.3%

Celtic
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

24.1%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

24.3%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hibernian's form might have worsened.

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celtic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hibernian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celtic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.9%	2.6%	89.5%

Hibernian - Celtic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Celtic (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Hibernian (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celtic will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celtic will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hibernian (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Celtic (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Smith J. (G) 5. O'Hora W. 33. Bushiri R. 15. Iredale J. 27. Megwa K. 14. Chaiwa M. 11. Newell J. (C) 19. Cadden N. 17. McGrath J. 10. Boyle M. 47. Elding O.	12. Sinisalo V. (G) 2. Johnston A. 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 42. McGregor C. (C) 27. Engels A. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 8. Nygren B. 23. Tounekti S. 38. Maeda D.
Substitutes
28. Andrews K. 22. Barlaser D. 12. Cadden Ch. 32. Campbell J. 8. Manneh A. 21. Obita J. 39. Owens F. (G) 44. Scarlett D. 77. Suto A.	31. Doohan R. (G) 49. Forrest J. 41. Hatate R. 17. Iheanacho K. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 21. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 56. Ralston A. 36. Saracchi M.
Coaches
Gray D.	O'Neill Ma.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', McGrath J. 🟥,
41', 0 - 1, Maeda D. ⚽, Johnston A. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Newell J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cadden N. ↓, Obita J. ↑,
46', Boyle M. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
48', Obita J. 🟨,
54', Scales L. 🟨,
54', Campbell J. 🟨,
63', Johnston A. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
63', Tounekti S. ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
69', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Iheanacho K. ⚽,
73', Newell J. ↓, Barlaser D. ↑,
77', Nygren B. ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
81', Elding O. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,
81', Iredale J. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
90+2', Engels A. 🟨,
90+3', Suto A. 🟨,
90+4', McCowan L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 1.

Hibernian has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Celtic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hibernian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Celtic is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Hibernian: Garananga M. (Inactive) Molotnikov R. (Ankle Injury) Mulligan J. (Ankle Injury) Passlack F. (Red Card) Sallinger R. (Red Card)

There will not play in Celtic: Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmeichel K. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:45. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Celtic: 53.71% Hibernian: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14:4	10	18
10	Hibernian	8	2	1	5	8:12	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
26.04.26	Hibernian - Hearts	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Aberdeen - Hibernian	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Hibernian - Kilmarnock	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Motherwell - Hibernian	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Hibernian - Livingston	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWTT
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
25.04.26	Celtic - Falkirk	3:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
19.04.26	Celtic - St. Mirren	6:2 ET ✺
Scottish Premier League
11.04.26	Celtic - St. Mirren	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Dundee - Celtic	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Dundee United - Celtic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
22.02.26	Celtic - Hibernian	1:2
30.11.25	Hibernian - Celtic	1:2
27.09.25	Celtic - Hibernian	0:0
10.05.25	Celtic - Hibernian	3:1
Scottish Cup
09.03.25	Celtic - Hibernian	2:0
Scottish Premier League
22.02.25	Hibernian - Celtic	2:1
07.12.24	Celtic - Hibernian	3:0

Upcoming Matches