Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 13

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Bruno Recchioni (Fermo)


	Fermana		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.8	2.87
	2.45	2.7	3
	2.39	2.7	2.95
	2.54	2.69	3.08
	2.45	2.7	3
	2.43	2.93	2.94	Watch
	2.42	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.03)	2.77 ↓ (2.98)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
37.1%

Draw
32.6%

Alessandria
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

31.6%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	66.7%	22.2%

Fermana - Alessandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fermana will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Alessandria will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Fermana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alessandria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fermana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.22	Carrarese - Fermana	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Fermana - Imolese	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Rimini - Fermana	2:2 ✺
19.10.22	Fermana - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Ancona - Fermana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTL
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.22	Lucchese - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Pro Patria - Alessandria	1:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.22	Alessandria - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Vis Pesaro - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
19.10.22	Alessandria - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWLTT

Fermana - Alessandria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide