Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Lucchese		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.5
	1.85	3.1	4
	2.02	3.1	3.35
	1.88	3.17	4.2
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.83	3.18	4.3	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.77)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	3.95 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
47.7%

Draw
29.3%

Alessandria
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

28.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

28.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Lucchese - Alessandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Alessandria will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0.

Lucchese is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alessandria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lucchese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Lucchese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.22	Ancona - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Lucchese - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
19.10.22	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Recanatese - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWT
- Alessandria 1912
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Pro Patria - Alessandria	1:2 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.22	Alessandria - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Vis Pesaro - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
19.10.22	Alessandria - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.21	Alessandria - Lucchese	5:2
06.12.20	Lucchese - Alessandria	0:2
27.01.19	Lucchese - Alessandria	2:2
30.09.18	Alessandria - Lucchese	0:0
29.03.18	Alessandria - Lucchese	0:0
12.11.17	Lucchese - Alessandria	2:1
22.01.17	Alessandria - Lucchese	2:1

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