Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 17

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday


	Pro Patria		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	3.6
	2.2	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.33	2.82	3.66
	2.34	2.8	3.66
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.16	2.84	3.48
	2.04	2.95	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.06)	2.87 ↓ (3)	3.62 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
42.5%

Draw
32.1%

Alessandria
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

27.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Pro Patria - Alessandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pro Patria will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Alessandria will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mangano G. (G) 21. Minelli A. 19. Lombardoni M. 6. Moretti A. 20. Renault G. 8. Marano F. 14. Bertoni L. 25. Ferri D. 3. Ndrecka A. 9. Parker S. 11. Pitou J.	1. Liverani L. (G) 23. Ciancio S. 31. Ercolani L. 17. Gega E. 3. Rossi E. 66. Sepe A. 4. Nichetti M. 24. Mastalli A. 28. Foresta G. 9. Siafa O. 7. Gazoul M.
Substitutes
5. Bashi E. 22. Bongini L. (G) 24. Caluschi R. 17. Citterio G. 10. Nicco G. 18. Piran L. 28. Somma M. 7. Stanzani L. 29. Zanaboni E.	11. Anatriello G. 26. Mame Ass N. 53. Molinaro S. 21. Nunzella L. 10. Pagliuca M. 16. Parrinello T. 18. Pellegrini L. 14. Pellitteri A. 12. Piana E. (G) 86. Rimbu C. 15. Ronci A. 8. Rota A. 72. Vaughn C. 90. Volpe M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 1.

Recent matches Pro Patria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alessandria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pro Patria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Patria won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
02.12.23	Pro Patria - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Legnago Salus - Pro Patria	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Pro Patria - Fiorenzuola	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTLL
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
03.12.23	Alessandria - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Pro Vercelli - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Alessandria - Giana Erminio	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Renate - Alessandria	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Virtus Entella - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Pro Patria - Alessandria	1:2 ET
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Alessandria - Pro Patria	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
02.05.21	Alessandria - Pro Patria	0:1
16.01.21	Pro Patria - Alessandria	0:0
10.11.19	Pro Patria - Alessandria	0:0
18.04.19	Alessandria - Pro Patria	1:2
16.12.18	Pro Patria - Alessandria	0:0

Pro Patria - Alessandria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide