Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Fermana		Carpi

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.1	2.37
	2.9	2.95	2.35
	2.7	3.2	2.35
	2.9	2.9	2.34
	2.92	3.16	2.39
	3	3	2.45
	2.94	3.05	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.43)	3.05 ↑ (3.01)	2.38 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
31.6%

Draw
30%

Carpi
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

21.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carpi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carpi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fermana - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Fermana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fermana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.20	Imolese - Fermana	0:1 ✺
21.10.20	Fermana - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Perugia - Fermana	2:0 ✺
11.10.20	Fermana - Padova	0:1 ✺
07.10.20	Sambenedettese - Fermana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLT
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
24.10.20	Carpi - Cesena	2:0 ✺
21.10.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carpi	3:0 ✺
18.10.20	Carpi - Arezzo	4:1 ✺
11.10.20	Imolese - Carpi	2:1 ✺
07.10.20	Carpi - Fano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
17.11.19	Carpi - Fermana	4:0
Club Friendly
27.07.18	Carpi - Fermana	0:1

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