Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 22

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.87
	4.2	3.2	1.9	Watch
	4.45	3.04	1.96
	4	3.1	1.85
	4.23	3.13	1.85
	4	3.1	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.9)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
22.1%

Draw
29.5%

Gubbio
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

28%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

27.5%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Fermana - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gubbio will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Furlanetto A. (G) 2. Eleuteri A. 3. Pistolesi F. 6. Fort F. 5. Spedalieri J. 20. Giandonato M. (C) 16. Fontana T. 26. Misuraca G. 30. Petrungaro L. 24. Gianelli J. 7. Tilli R.	77. Greco S. (G) 21. Corsinelli F. 4. Tozzuolo A. 15. Signorini A. 3. Mercadante M. 18. Chierico L. 6. Casolari F. 5. Mercati A. 78. Bumbu J. 11. Udoh P. 7. Di Massimo A.
Substitutes
13. Bonfigli L. 1. Borghetto N. (G) 17. Condello S. 36. Fiumano F. 34. Locanto G. 12. Mancini A. (G) 19. Marcandella D. 28. Niang O. 11. Paponi D. 90. Petrelli E. 10. Pinzi R. 15. Santi P. 8. Scorza C. 18. Vessella M.	99. Bernardotto G. 20. Brambilla A. 23. Dimarco C. 25. Guerrini V. 19. Morelli G. 90. Portanova D. 8. Rosaia G. 28. Spina M. 1. Stacchiotti S. 22. Vettorel T. (G)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fermana won 1.

Recent matches Fermana is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gubbio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gubbio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gubbio is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Fermana won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
13.01.24	Pontedera - Fermana	4:0 ✺
06.01.24	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Pescara - Fermana	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Fermana - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Lucchese - Fermana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 LTTWT
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
14.01.24	Gubbio - Ancona	0:0 ✺
10.01.24	Gubbio - Recanatese	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Pineto - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
22.12.23	Rimini - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Pontedera - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
16.09.23	Gubbio - Fermana	0:0
08.01.23	Gubbio - Fermana	1:3
11.09.22	Fermana - Gubbio	1:1
02.02.22	Fermana - Gubbio	1:1
05.09.21	Gubbio - Fermana	1:0
16.02.21	Gubbio - Fermana	1:1
21.10.20	Fermana - Gubbio	2:1

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