Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Carpi		Cesena

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.75
	2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.6
	2.06	2.95	3.4
	2.08	3.2	3.53
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.02	3.3	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.4)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)	3.56 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
45.4%

Draw
28.9%

Cesena
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

22.7%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carpi's performance.

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cesena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cesena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carpi - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Carpi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Carpi won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
21.10.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carpi	3:0 ✺
18.10.20	Carpi - Arezzo	4:1 ✺
11.10.20	Imolese - Carpi	2:1 ✺
07.10.20	Carpi - Fano	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Mantova - Carpi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLTW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
21.10.20	Cesena - Fano	3:0 ✺
18.10.20	Gubbio - Cesena	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Cesena - FeralpiSalò	2:4 ✺
08.10.20	Perugia - Cesena	1:2 ✺
04.10.20	Cesena - Triestina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
22.01.20	Cesena - Carpi	0:1
25.08.19	Carpi - Cesena	4:1
Italian Serie B
10.03.18	Cesena - Carpi	0:0
14.10.17	Carpi - Cesena	2:1
05.02.17	Carpi - Cesena	1:2
09.09.16	Cesena - Carpi	1:0
22.02.14	Carpi - Cesena	1:2

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