Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Fermana		Matelica

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.5	2.8	2.85	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.5	2.85	2.7
	2.63	3.05	2.84
	2.6	3	2.75
	2.48	3.24	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.37)	2.96 ↓ (3.06)	2.75 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
36%

Draw
30.8%

Matelica
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

21.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Matelica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fermana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matelica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fermana - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Fermana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fermana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.20	Triestina - Fermana	3:1 ✺
11.11.20	Fermana - Fano	0:0 ✺
07.11.20	Cesena - Fermana	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Fermana - Carpi	0:1 ✺
25.10.20	Imolese - Fermana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTTLW
- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.20	Matelica - Cesena	2:2 ✺
15.11.20	Padova - Matelica	3:0 ✺
11.11.20	Legnago Salus - Matelica	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Matelica - Ravenna	3:2 ✺
01.11.20	Virtus Verona - Matelica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
19.03.17	Fermana - Matelica	2:1
23.11.16	Matelica - Fermana	3:0

Fermana - Matelica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide