Match Info

Date: 15 November 2020, Sunday


	Padova		Matelica

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.57	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.54	3.4	5.75
	1.56	3.5	5.2
	1.55	3.79	6.26
	1.57	3.6	6
	1.58	3.82	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)	3.6 ↑ (3.36)	5.69 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
58.6%

Draw
25.3%

Matelica
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

21.4%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Padova - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
11.11.20	Perugia - Padova	3:0 ✺
08.11.20	Padova - Virtus Verona	2:0 ✺
02.11.20	Cesena - Padova	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Fiorentina - Padova	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.20	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
11.11.20	Legnago Salus - Matelica	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Matelica - Ravenna	3:2 ✺
01.11.20	Virtus Verona - Matelica	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Matelica - Arezzo	2:2 ✺
21.10.20	Mantova - Matelica	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLTL

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