Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday


	Triestina		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.5
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.7	3.2	4.5
	1.7	3.15	4.8
	1.76	3.49	5.19
	1.75	3.25	5
	1.74	3.44	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	3.36 ↓ (3.42)	4.75 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
53.5%

Draw
27.2%

Fermana
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.8%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

16%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Triestina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fermana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Triestina - Fermana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 15).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Triestina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Triestina is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Triestina won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Triestina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.20	FeralpiSalò - Triestina	2:1 ✺
11.11.20	Triestina - Imolese	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Arezzo - Triestina	2:2 ✺
25.10.20	Triestina - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Vis Pesaro - Triestina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTTW
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
11.11.20	Fermana - Fano	0:0 ✺
07.11.20	Cesena - Fermana	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Fermana - Carpi	0:1 ✺
25.10.20	Imolese - Fermana	0:1 ✺
21.10.20	Fermana - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.10.19	Fermana - Triestina	0:3
14.04.19	Triestina - Fermana	3:0
11.12.18	Fermana - Triestina	1:0
24.02.18	Fermana - Triestina	0:0
09.10.17	Triestina - Fermana	3:0

Triestina - Fermana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide