Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday


	Matelica		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.62
	2.6	3	2.55
	2.4	3.05	2.7
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.57	3.42	2.64
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.59	3.14	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.28)	3.14 ↑ (3.04)	2.62 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matelica
35.9%

Draw
29.1%

Cesena
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

22.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cesena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matelica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matelica - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 9 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Matelica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Matelica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.20	Padova - Matelica	3:0 ✺
11.11.20	Legnago Salus - Matelica	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Matelica - Ravenna	3:2 ✺
01.11.20	Virtus Verona - Matelica	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Matelica - Arezzo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.20	Cesena - Ravenna	4:0 ✺
11.11.20	Vis Pesaro - Cesena	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Cesena - Fermana	1:1 ✺
02.11.20	Cesena - Padova	0:2 ✺
24.10.20	Carpi - Cesena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
16.01.19	Cesena - Matelica	2:1
26.09.18	Matelica - Cesena	1:0

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