Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Ferrandina		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	2.98	3.1	2.2
	3.02	3.15	2.25	Watch
	3.07	3.2	2.29
	3	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.69)	3.13 ↓ (3.38)	2.24 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrandina
30.4%

Draw
29%

Fidelis Andria
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

26.8%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

26.9%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Fidelis Andria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (-1%)

Ferrandina - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 6).

Recent performances by Ferrandina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fidelis Andria is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fidelis Andria could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferrandina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fidelis Andria	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Ferrandina
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.25	Ferrandina - Heraclea	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Nardo - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Ferrandina - Nola	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gravina - Ferrandina	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ferrandina - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLT
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.25	Pompei - Fidelis Andria	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Fidelis Andria - Manfredonia	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sarnese - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
07.09.25	Fidelis Andria - Ferrandina	2:0

Ferrandina - Fidelis Andria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide