Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Nardo		Ferrandina

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.45
	1.68	3.52	4.69	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.81	3.2	4.91
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.24)	3.36 ↓ (3.44)	4.61 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nardo
53.1%

Draw
27.1%

Ferrandina
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nardo's performance.

Ferrandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrandina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrandina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nardo - Ferrandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

Nardo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Ferrandina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nardo is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Nardo - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Manfredonia - Nardo	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Nardo - Sarnese	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Pompei - Nardo	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Nardo - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Francavilla - Nardo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWWT
- ASD Ferrandina
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Ferrandina - Nola	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gravina - Ferrandina	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ferrandina - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Paganese - Ferrandina	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ferrandina - Real Normanna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTTT

Nardo - Ferrandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide