Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Sarnese		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.25	2.4
	2.55	3.5	2.41	Watch
	2.54	3.28	2.41
	2.54	3.33	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.54)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2.42 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarnese
35.5%

Draw
27.1%

Fidelis Andria
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

26.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

26%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sarnese - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Giorgione C. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Addessi S. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, Silvestro M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarnese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sarnese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.11.25	Nardo - Sarnese	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sarnese - Acerrana	6:1 ✺
16.11.25	Nola - Sarnese	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Sarnese - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gravina - Sarnese	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTLL
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.11.25	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Acerrana - Fidelis Andria	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Fidelis Andria - Afragolese	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Heraclea - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
18.04.19	Sarnese - Fidelis Andria	1:2
12.12.18	Fidelis Andria - Sarnese	3:0

Sarnese - Fidelis Andria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide