Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Ferrandina		Nardo

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.42
	2.78	3.15	2.4	Watch
	2.69	3.08	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.35)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.41 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrandina
33.3%

Draw
29.1%

Nardo
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.9%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

28.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrandina's performance.

Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrandina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferrandina - Nardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Pizzo L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Ferrandina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nardo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferrandina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	A.C.D. Nardo	6	1	2	3	5:11	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Ferrandina
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.04.26	Nola - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Ferrandina - Gravina	0:5 ✺
02.04.26	Città di Fasano - Ferrandina	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ferrandina - Paganese	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Real Normanna - Ferrandina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTTL
- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.04.26	Nardo - Manfredonia	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Sarnese - Nardo	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Nardo - Pompei	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Virtus Francavilla - Nardo	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Nardo - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
14.12.25	Nardo - Ferrandina	1:0

Ferrandina - Nardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide