Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 29Date: 29 March 2026, SundayLocation: Stadio Giovanni Paolo II (Francavilla Fontana)
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Virtus Francavilla |
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Nardo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.1 |
3.1 |
3.15 |
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1.97 |
3.31 |
3.38 |
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2.01 |
3.32 |
3.39 |
 Watch |
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2.1 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
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1.99 |
3.22 |
3.47 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(3.01) |
3.17 ↓
(3.23) |
3.32 ↑
(2.17) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Virtus Francavilla
44.4% | Draw
28.5% | Nardo
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Francavilla's performance.Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Francavilla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Virtus Francavilla - Nardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 70', 1 - 0, Mauriello A. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)In recent matches, Virtus Francavilla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Nardo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Virtus Francavilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
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| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Nardo - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.81%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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