Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Ferro 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.50	1.90
	3.25	3.50	1.88
	3.38	3.75	1.97
	3.22	3.83	1.94	Watch
	3.45	3.40	1.96
	3.32	3.84	1.97
	3.20	3.60	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	3.63 ↑ (3.35)	1.94 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro 2
27.8%

Draw
25.2%

Independiente 2
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

26.5%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.5%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Ferro 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th and 1st in the Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Ferro 2 is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Independiente 2 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ferro 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Independiente 2 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ferro 2 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ferro 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste 2
Argentinian Reserve League
29.09.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Ferro 2	3:2 ✺
22.09.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Ferro 2	4:0 ✺
16.09.26	Ferro 2 - Platense 2	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Quilmes 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Ferro 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.10.26	Independiente 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Racing Club 2 - Independiente 2	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Independiente 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:0 ✺
08.09.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Independiente 2	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Independiente 2 - Platense 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.26	Independiente 2 - Ferro 2	1:0
16.09.25	Ferro 2 - Independiente 2	3:2

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