The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente 2 27.5%
Draw 29.6%
Boca Juniors 2 42.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.1%
29.1%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
28.6%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Boca Juniors 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Independiente 2 - Boca Juniors 2 Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Boca Juniors 2 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 2.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Boca Juniors 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Boca Juniors 2 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Independiente 2 has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Independiente 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.3:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente 2 - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Boca Juniors 2 - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.78%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.