Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday


	Ferro Gen.Pico		Deportivo Rincón

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.85	3.2
	2.15	2.95	3.4
				Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.25
	2.18	2.88	3.45
	2.15	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.65)	2.9 ↑ (2.79)	3.34 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Gen.Pico
41.6%

Draw
31.2%

Deportivo Rincón
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

32.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

31%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Gen.Pico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro Gen.Pico's performance.

Deportivo Rincón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Rincón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Gen.Pico than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro Gen.Pico that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Rincón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferro Gen.Pico - Deportivo Rincón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Mellado L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Chacon J. 🟥,

Preview

Ferro Gen.Pico is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportivo Rincón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferro Gen.Pico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Gen.Pico
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.07.24	San Martín de Mendoza - Ferro Gen.Pico	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Ferro Gen.Pico - Huracán Las Heras	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Argentino Monte Maíz - Ferro Gen.Pico	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Ferro Gen.Pico - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:4 ✺
15.06.24	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Ferro Gen.Pico	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLL
- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.07.24	Germinal - Deportivo Rincón	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Deportivo Rincón - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Deportivo Rincón	3:2 ✺
23.06.24	Deportivo Rincón - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
09.06.24	Cipolletti - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTLWL

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