Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Rawson)


	Germinal		Deportivo Rincón

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.70	3.25
	2.50	2.85	2.70
	2.25	2.66	3.42
	2.32	2.81	3.33	Watch
	2.20	2.60	3.35
	2.34	2.90	3.37
	2.55	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)	3.16 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
38.7%

Draw
32.6%

Deportivo Rincón
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

31.3%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

31.6%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Deportivo Rincón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Germinal - Deportivo Rincón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molini L. (G) 9. De Hoyos D. 11. Gonzalez A. 5. Lencina K. 3. Moreno A. 4. Moron G. 10. Navarro G. 8. Oliveri T. 6. Rios N. 2. Romero F. 7. Santilli E.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 11. Achetoni J. I. 4. Alderete R. P. 10. Avila C. 5. Carrasco D. 9. Cruz F. 7. Dominguez M. 6. Esteves C. 2. Herrera R. 3. Punet L. 8. Valvuena C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rincón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	Germinal - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sol de Mayo - Germinal	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil	5:1 ✺
08.08.26	Costa Brava - Germinal	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Germinal - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLWTW
- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Deportivo Rincón - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sol de Mayo - Deportivo Rincón	2:4 ✺
25.07.26	Costa Brava - Deportivo Rincón	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Deportivo Rincón - Huracán Las Heras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.06.25	Deportivo Rincón - Germinal	2:0
20.04.25	Germinal - Deportivo Rincón	0:3
14.07.24	Germinal - Deportivo Rincón	0:0
15.05.24	Deportivo Rincón - Germinal	2:2

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