Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Ferrocarril Midland		Comunicaciones

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.29	2.85	3.45	Watch
	2.34	2.73	3.51
	2.3	2.77	3.43
	2.5	2.5	3.1
	2.32	2.76	3.46
	2.29	2.85	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.77)	2.74 ↓ (3.3)	3.4 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
39.4%

Draw
33.6%

Comunicaciones
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

27.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrocarril Midland's form might have worsened.

Comunicaciones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comunicaciones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrocarril Midland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comunicaciones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Ferrocarril Midland - Comunicaciones Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrocarril (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Comunicaciones (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Comunicaciones (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrocarril (votes: 2 - 50%). Comunicaciones (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Gigli L. 3. Cataldi F. 8. Frattini M. (C) 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 11. Molina F. 10. Campana A. I. 9. Vico L.	1. Otarola F. (C) 4. Chimino C. 2. Lopez F. 6. Lopez M. 3. Arrechea N. 8. Puigdellivol C. 5. Fabello F. 10. Ibanez J. 11. Carruega S. 7. Rozic T. 9. Sosa S.
Substitutes
15. Aguilar D. 19. Arias A. 12. Avendano N. (G) 16. Cucinotta M. 17. Goyeneche J. 13. Kruger J. 14. Meza F. 20. Nunez D. 18. Olivera E.	15. Arrighi A. 19. Barroso J. 18. Brambillo M. 14. Friesel T. 17. Maguicha D. 16. Pesse V. 20. Tunessi M. 13. Valenzuela A. 12. Yzaurralde N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Frattini M. 🟨,
35', Lopez F. 🟥,
44', Sosa S. ↓, Valenzuela A. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Frattini M. ⚽,
62', Fabello F. 🟨,
65', Carruega S. ↓, Tunessi M. ↑,
65', Rozic T. ↓, Maguicha D. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Vico L. ⚽,
71', Vico L. ↓, Meza F. ↑,
71', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
71', Rogoski M. ↓, Cucinotta M. ↑,
80', Campana A. I. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
82', Puigdellivol C. ↓, Friesel T. ↑,
82', Fabello F. ↓, Barroso J. ↑,
84', Molina F. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Olivera E. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ferrocarril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferrocarril might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
18.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Sacachispas - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTTT
- Club Comunicaciones Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
21.05.25	Comunicaciones - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Acassuso - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Comunicaciones - Brown de Adrogué	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Argentino de Merlo - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Comunicaciones - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
29.07.24	Comunicaciones - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0
09.03.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Comunicaciones	0:0

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