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Current Win Probability
Ferrocarril Midland 63.2%
Draw 25.4%
San Martín de Burzaco 11.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
28.3%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
27.7%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrocarril Midland's performance.
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Burzaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrocarril Midland that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Burzaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Gigli L. 3. Cataldi F. 8. Frattini M. (C) 5. Violini N. 10. Gomez G. 11. Molina F. 7. Rogoski M. 9. Vico L.
1. Figueroa J. (G) 4. Escudero M. 2. Diaz S. 6. Siliman A. 3. Geneiro L. 8. Ortigoza M. (C) 5. Benitez F. 10. Auzqui D. 11. Treppo E. 7. Camejo J. 9. Chavez B.
Substitutes
15. Aguilar D. 12. Avendano N. (G) 19. Calabria G. 20. Campana A. I. 16. Cucinotta M. 14. Ferrari N. 17. Goyeneche J. 13. Kruger J. 18. Olivera E.
18. Camejo F. 20. Gimenez F. 13. Lazarev R. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 17. Molina D. 16. Roth J. 19. Serpa I. 15. Suarez L. 14. Tobon J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
6', Gomez G. 🟨,
17', Violini N. 🟨,
17', Frattini M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Vico L. ⚽,
36', Auzqui D. 🟨,
38', Geneiro L. 🟨,
44', Camejo J. 🟨,
45+1', Gigli L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
59', Auzqui D. ↓, Tobon J. ↑,
59', Treppo E. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
60', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
66', Vico L. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
68', Camejo J. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
68', Chavez B. ↓, Gimenez F. ↑,
74', Frattini M. ↓, Cucinotta M. ↑,
74', Gomez G. ↓, Campana A. I. ↑,
79', Benitez F. ↓, Molina D. ↑,
81', Siliman A. 🟨,
84', Figueroa J. 🟥,
85', 2 - 0, Molina F. ⚽,
88', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Ferrari N. ↑,
88', Violini N. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
SM de Burzaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ferrocarril is a strong favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferrocarril won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
Argentina
South-america
Uruguay
Venezuela
Watch
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Maldonado L. (G) 
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