Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Armenia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Armenio		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.65	2.6
	2.6	2.8	3	Watch
	2.67	2.6	2.96
	2.61	2.74	2.94	Watch
	2.62	2.7	2.9
	2.59	2.82	2.86
	2.6	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.31)	2.73 ↓ (2.92)	2.89 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Armenio
34.8%

Draw
33.6%

Ferrocarril Midland
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

32.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Armenio's form might have worsened.

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrocarril (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez I. (G) 11. Avalos S. 2. Cardozo I. 4. Rodriguez C. 6. Segovia I. 5. Sica N. 10. Barrionuevo D. . Venetucci V. 8. Almanza F. 9. Montero S. . Herrera Jonathan N.	1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Cataldi F. 3. Kruger J. 7. Rogoski M. 5. Violini N. 8. Goyeneche J. 10. Gomez G. 11. Molina F. (C) 9. Vico L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gomez G. 🟨,
26', Cardozo I. 🟨,
33', Violini N. 🟨,
36', Vico L. 🟨,
44', Rogoski M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jerez T. ↓, Maldonado G. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Maldonado G. ⚽,
57', Montero S. 🟨,
58', Kruger J. ↓, Meza F. ↑,
58', Goyeneche J. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
63', Rogoski M. ↓, Campana A. I. ↑,
73', Barrionuevo D. ↓, Villalva L. ↑,
78', Montero S. ↓, Giacomini R. ↑,
78', Molina F. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
78', Gomez G. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
79', Maldonado G. 🟨,
82', Arias A. 🟨,
87', Villalva L. 🟨,
89', Campana A. I. 🟨,
90+3', Herrera Jonathan N. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 3.

Deportivo Armenio has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ferrocarril has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
09.05.25	Excursionistas - Deportivo Armenio	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Acassuso	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Deportivo Armenio - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTTT
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
11.05.25	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Sacachispas - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Acassuso - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
21.07.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Armenio	1:2
02.03.24	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1
Argentinian Primera C
14.04.19	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	3:1
03.11.18	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Armenio	1:2
03.04.18	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Armenio	0:0
07.11.17	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0
09.04.17	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1

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