Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Ferrocarril Midland		Fénix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.16	5.7	18.5	Watch
	1.14	6.31	21.21
	1.43	3.84	7.50	Watch
	1.13	5.55	22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.43)	5.35 ↑ (3.84)	17.3 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
77.1%

Draw
17.5%

Fénix
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

23.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.7%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrocarril Midland's performance.

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fénix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrocarril Midland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fénix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferrocarril Midland - Fénix Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Ferrocarril (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrocarril (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Cataldi F. 3. Figueroa R. 8. Frattini M. (C) 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 10. Abbruzzesse M. 11. Molina F. 9. Vico L.	1. Cordero R. (G) 4. Vazquez C. 2. Rojas I. 6. Sanchez E. 3. Rodriguez J. 10. Perez P. (C) 5. Franks A. 8. Nizzo M. 11. Breccia R. 7. Ahumada I. 9. Vivas J.
Substitutes
15. Aguilar D. 18. Arias A. 12. Avendano N. (G) 19. Calabria G. 16. Campana A. I. 20. Chavez C. 13. Gigli L. 17. Gomez G. 14. Penepil M.	16. Aguilera U. 14. Gomez R. 13. Lugo K. 15. Maria M. 17. Medina G. 19. Meridione A. 12. Parra V. (G) 20. Paz Pablo J. 18. Soto T. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Figueroa R. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Abbruzzesse M. ⚽,
61', Frattini M. ↓, Campana A. I. ↑,
68', Vazquez C. ↓, Aguilera U. ↑,
68', Vivas J. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
73', Molina F. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
77', Franks A. ↓, Paz Pablo J. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Abbruzzesse M. ⚽,
86', Abbruzzesse M. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
86', Vico L. ↓, Gigli L. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Calabria G. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 0, Campana A. I. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final) and 21).

In recent matches, Ferrocarril has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fénix is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ferrocarril is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
01.11.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Ferrocarril Midland	1:4 ✺
18.10.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Liniers	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Comunicaciones - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
06.10.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTTL
- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
02.11.25	Fénix - Excursionistas	1:5 ✺
18.10.25	Acassuso - Fénix	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Fénix - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Argentino de Merlo - Fénix	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Fénix - Argentino de Quilmes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
15.06.25	Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0
09.07.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Fénix	0:0
20.02.24	Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1

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