Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Ferrocarril Midland		Deportivo Armenio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	2.48	4.15	Watch
	2.17	2.61	4.76
	2.22	2.42	4.50	Watch
	2.29	2.39	4.7
	2.16	2.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.18)	2.53 ↓ (2.91)	4.32 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
41.9%

Draw
36.6%

Deportivo Armenio
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

31.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

32.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Armenio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Gigli L. 3. Cataldi F. 7. Rogoski M. 5. Violini N. 8. Frattini M. (C) 10. Campana A. I. 9. Gomez G. 11. Molina F.	1. Lopez I. (C) 4. Cardozo I. 2. Segovia I. 6. Medina L. 3. Perez I. 7. Villalva L. 5. Sica N. 8. Almanza F. 10. Barrionuevo D. 9. Figueroa G. 11. Herrera Jonathan N.
Substitutes
16. Abbruzzesse M. 12. Avendano N. (G) 18. Calabria G. 20. Chavez C. 14. Figueroa R. 17. Goyeneche J. 13. Meza F. 15. Penepil M. 19. Vico L.	15. Avalos S. 20. Benitez N. 13. Echeverria J. 14. Gomez C. 16. Lagomarsino S. 19. Maldonado G. 18. Montero S. 17. Motta F. 12. Nistal N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Gomez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Barrionuevo D. ↓, Maldonado G. ↑,
60', Cardozo I. 🟨,
62', Segovia I. 🟨,
66', Campana A. I. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
66', Gomez G. ↓, Vico L. ↑,
68', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
71', Figueroa G. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,
79', Vico L. 🟨,
83', Frattini M. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
83', Molina F. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
88', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Abbruzzesse M. ↑,
90+4', Herrera Jonathan N. ↓, Montero S. ↑,
90+4', Villalva L. ↓, Motta F. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final) and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 1.

Ferrocarril has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Armenio is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo Armenio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferrocarril is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Ferrocarril Midland - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
29.09.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Deportivo Merlo - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
08.09.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Dock Sud	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Villa San Carlos - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTWT
- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
27.09.25	Deportivo Armenio - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Acassuso - Deportivo Armenio	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Deportivo Armenio - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Deportivo Armenio - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
18.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0
21.07.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Armenio	1:2
02.03.24	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1
Argentinian Primera C
14.04.19	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	3:1
03.11.18	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Armenio	1:2
03.04.18	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Armenio	0:0
07.11.17	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0

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