The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Burzaco 27.7%
Draw 36.4%
Ferrocarril Midland 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
29.9%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
31.4%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Burzaco's form might have worsened.
Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Burzaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Navarro Montoya E. (G) 7. Modon S. 4. Lazarev R. 2. Diaz S. 6. Molina B. 3. Geneiro L. 5. Benitez F. (C) 9. Chavez B. 8. Roth J. 11. Camejo F. 10. Treppo E.
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Gigli L. 3. Penepil M. 8. Abbruzzesse M. 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 11. Molina F. (C) 10. Campana A. I. 9. Vico L.
Substitutes
18. Figueredo M. 19. Gimenez F. 14. Mackay G. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 16. Morales M. 15. Ortigoza M. 17. Roberts D. 20. Serpa I. 13. Siliman A.
15. Aguilar D. 18. Arias A. 12. Avendano N. (G) 13. Cataldi F. 20. Chavez C. 14. Figueroa R. 16. Frattini M. 17. Gomez G. 19. Goyeneche J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
40', Molina B. 🟨,
45', Chavez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Camejo F. ⚽,
64', Treppo E. 🟨,
67', Penepil M. ↓, Frattini M. ↑,
67', Roth J. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
67', Camejo F. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
67', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
73', Treppo E. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
78', Castorani P. 🟨,
82', Rogoski M. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
82', Campana A. I. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
85', Chavez B. ↓, Mackay G. ↑,
88', Castorani P. ↓, Chavez C. ↑,
90+2', Navarro Montoya E. 🟨,
90+4', Serpa I. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ferrocarril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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